Saturday, September 5, 2009

The Market is great!

I've said it over and over lately. It is a great market!

Technically speaking, the market is always great. The only thing that changes is for whom the market is great. (Too many uses of 'great?'....sorry)

It all has to do with supply, demand, and months supply. Supply and demand are easy enough. Supply is what we have, and demand is what we want. When we have more than we want, prices go down. When we want more than we have, prices go up. Got it? OK. Months supply is a number that helps us understand whose market it is: buyers or sellers?

The following is a quote from the National Association of REALTORS:

Assessing months supply is an
important consideration when
describing market conditions. It
succinctly measures activity in the
housing market at a given point in
time.
Months supply is determined by
calculating the ratio of inventory
available for sale at the seasonal
sales pace in a given month. If
months supply increases, the
implication is housing demand
favors buyers; if it decreases it
suggests better opportunities for
sellers.
The current national months
supply of housing inventory is 9.4
months, down from 11 months
one year ago. This means that, at
the current rate of sales and
available inventory, it would take
about nine months to sell all the
homes currently available for sale.
However, for homes under
$250,000, months supply is six
months, which indicates greater
demand. In contrast, the market
for $1 million+ homes is virtually
frozen at 21 months.

So what does it all mean? The bottom line is that we have had a buyer's market for quite a while now. If you wanted to buy a house, you had plenty of inventory from which to choose and prices looked pretty good. The trend appears to be shifting now. With the exception of mega-homes, sellers are getting stronger. We can attribute this shift to things like the implementation of tax credits ($8000 for new home buyers) and the reduction in new construction.

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